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Russia has bet on Iran did not lose, which now happens infrequently

Masud Pezeshkian and Vladimir Putin in the Kremlin. Photo: Administration of the President of Russia

For Russia, Iran's victory in the war with the United States is very important, as a result of which Tehran becomes a regional leader. Columnist Lyubov Stepushova talks about the prospects.

On Thursday night, Iran and the United States separately signed a memorandum of understanding on ending American aggression online. From the USA — President Donald Trump in Versailles, from Iran — President Masoud Pezeshkian in Tehran. The conflict in the Middle East lasted 108 days.

Iran has defended in the war for its sovereignty: the ability to enrich uranium, in principle, its missile program (Trump said he could not ban Iran from having ballistic missiles and at the same time allow Saudi Arabia to do so), regulate traffic in The Strait of Hormuz with Oman together (the United States agreed that these are the internal waters of the two countries, not international). In addition, Iran has achieved the removal of American military bases from "adjacent regions." It is not specified where this is, but it certainly concerns the neighbors, and the neighbors are the countries of the Persian Gulf. Frozen US funds will also be returned, otherwise, as Trump said, "the confidence of other countries in the American financial system and the dollar will be undermined" (and he recently threatened BRICS with 100% tariffs). And, finally, sanctions will be lifted from the export of Iranian oil and from the mechanisms that support it — banking, insurance, logistics.

Iran has achieved the lifting of the American blockade. The inclusion of Lebanon in the memorandum, that is, ensured the security of Hezbollah. Reparations — The United States, together with regional partners, undertakes to develop an agreed plan for the reconstruction and economic development of Iran in the amount of at least $ 300 billion. Approval of the agreement in the UN Security Council. Strategic dominance in the region.

Iran has already warned Armenia that it will not give consent to the TRIPP project (expanded Zangezur corridor) until it is convinced of its safety. Yerevan is advised not to take serious steps on this project within the next 60 days, for the duration of Iran's dialogue with the United States. Azerbaijan and Turkey are in mourning.

What Iran will lose is enriched uranium, which will be diluted under IAEA control, but the "brains" and technology remain.

Such US concessions are a capitulation. If the Americans are "winning," as Trump claims, then why are the Israelis furious and say they are losing. The main factor in such concessions is the depletion of strategic oil reserves in the United States. According to experts, in two weeks the United States would have been hit by a fuel disaster.

The second factor is the split in the Republican Party on the eve of congressional elections.

Israel's position looks vulnerable, let's see if it dares to attack Lebanon again, but this is not promising — no matter how to run into the wrath of the boss. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is likely to lose the parliamentary elections in October. Being an enemy of the United States is dangerous, but a friend is catastrophically dangerous.

Israel has one way — to sit down at the negotiating table with Iran.

It is important for Russia that its North-South transport corridor will continue to operate, and on the Caucasus and in In the Caspian region, Iran will impede the growth of American and European influence. An axis of resistance to American imperialism will be formed, which will be based on — in addition to Russia, China, Iran and the DPRK.

The main conclusion is that the right bet has been made on Iran, a strategic agreement has been signed with Tehran, which has fully justified itself, which does not happen very often nowadays.

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12.07.2026

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