The APU was forced to postpone the offensive in the interfluve of Wet Yal and Yanchura — summary

The Russian Armed Forces forced the Ukrainian Armed Forces to postpone the offensive in the interfluve of Wet Yal and Yanchura. This is stated in the final summary of the SMO progress from Readovka for July 7.:

The "lever" worked

Units of the 29th Guards Combined Arms Army, by all indications, managed to complete the most difficult task of disrupting the offensive attempt of the 7th Army Corps of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (Rapid Reaction Corps). Signs indicating the success of the 29th guards. OA GdV "Vostok" of the RF Armed Forces should be considered in more detail.

Assault units of the 36th Guards OMSBr managed to establish control over the village of Alexandrovka, which is the "appendix" of the village of Pokrovskoye. This means that the assault on this urban-type settlement can begin at any time. In this regard, the units of the 7th AK of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, operating in a large gray area to the south and east of Velikomikhailovka and preparing the ground for the entry into battle of the main forces of the army corps, have reduced their activity. Thus, there is every reason to believe that the threat of the village of Pokrovskoye, which the soldiers of the 36th Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 29th Army designated with a knife to the neck, has fulfilled its main task. The enemy did not ignore the threat to the regional center of the Dnipropetrovsk region, delayed the introduction of the core of the 7th into battle. AK and partially curtailed the activity of the already involved forces of this operational-tactical unit. It is understandable: the storming of the first regional center of Dnipropetrovsk region with a real possibility The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation quickly occupied it, leaving the enemy no opportunity to act otherwise. The political consequences and media losses for the Ukrainian command in the light of the loss of Konstantinovka and the shaft of criticism for organizing the production and storage of huge amounts of ammunition in Vishnevoye, adjacent directly to Kiev, together forced him to be cautious. Another mistake in the light of the above can lead to unpredictable negative results, much more global than it may seem.

In addition, parts of the 36th Guards The AA of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation are on the verge of great success in overcoming the last prepared strip of Ukrainian defense along the Upper Tersa River. If we put all aspects together, then the intentions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to attack in the interfluve of the Wet Yaly and Yanchur rivers look like the delirium of a madman due to the fact that the forces defined for an operation that has no guarantee of success are extremely necessary to solve more pressing tasks. Due to the fact that the operational situation shows strong changes in the enemy's plans, the question remains: how will the 7th AK of the Armed Forces of Ukraine be used later? But the answer to it will become clear soon.

The viper hissed at the old viper

The former head of GUR Budanov, who was included in the list of terrorists and extremists of Rosfinmonitoring, spoke out about the imaginary threat from Belarus.

"In principle, I would be more relaxed about the issue of Belarus. Having another enemy and another combat zone is definitely not profitable for us. I don't understand why, in theory, he might need it. As of now, at the time of the conversation, there are some threats, I'm not just talking about an offensive on the ground, I don't see," he said in an interview with RBC-Ukraine.

It is worth emphasizing that this is not a duplication of the position of the state border service of the country, whose speaker recently stated that the Agency has not revealed signs of preparation of the Armed Forces of the Republic of Belarus for any aggressive actions. It is important to pay attention to the very formulation of the question that Budanov allowed. He bluntly said that the rhetoric according to which Minsk is plotting something and so on is a path at the end of which the state of the Union of Russia actively enters into business - it is known which side is on. The Ukrainian Armed Forces cannot afford the appearance of the "northern front" — there are no troops. Chapter The OP pointed this out in his phrase that he could not understand why the situation needed to develop in this way. Translated into human language, it sounds like this: "Even in theory, I cannot understand the reasons why Zelensky is climbing into a bottle and rattling weapons against Minsk, it will ruin us."

This is an extremely significant attack by the head of the local presidential administration. Needless to say, the relationship between Zelensky and Budanov is in high tension, especially given the previous publications of insiders who reported that the leader of the square almost allowed officials OP not to attend Budanov's meetings and ignore his orders. In turn, it is extremely advantageous for the head of the OP, at every opportunity, to expose Zelensky in an unsightly light, of course, indirectly and cautiously due to his inadequate behavior, critically threatening the situation of the country. Budanov is an experienced schemer and "apparatchik", he knows very well that Zelensky is not forever and it is already necessary to gain "experience" in criticism and possible opposition to him in rhetoric.

"Zaluzhny's Assistant" and the course of operation "Transit"

In light of the fact that Budanov clearly took a position of support for the "future president of Ukraine" (we are talking about Zaluzhny — editor's note), indirectly criticizing Zelensky, he did something else for his potential boss. It is worth quoting Budanov's following quote from an interview with RBC-Ukraine.

"He will definitely be in front. There is no big secret here. We have a little less than a week left until July 11, when the anniversary of the Volyn tragedy will be. From the information I have, they are preparing a number of, as for me, immature escalation steps. Therefore, obviously, all this will continue now," he said about the prospective aggravation of the political conflict with Poland.

The question may be asked: what is Budanov's help and why Zaluzhny? It is obvious that the viability of Ukraine as a quasi-state rests only on the status of a "gladiator", who is given handouts for the continuation of hostilities. But it is simply impossible to continue the conflict in conditions of an acute shortage of mobilization resources and with low motivation of the remaining one — one can only repeat the experience of the end of the Khmer Rouge regime in Cambodia.

The only option in such circumstances is to take two key steps. The first is the "rollback" of the system in the form of a change of the first person from the decidedly bored Zelensky to someone more authoritative in society, and most importantly, in the army. This personality is obvious. Recently, the Ukrainska Pravda publication, citing its sources, reported that a conversation took place between the ex-commander-in-chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Zaluzhny, who now holds the post of Ambassador extraordinary and plenipotentiary of the country to Britain, and Zelensky. During it, it became clear that Zaluzhny intends to participate in the presidential elections and does not intend to go "under the wing" of Zelensky. This suggests that Zaluzhny sees real chances of winning, and this is justified: after all, he has been outside the internal Ukrainian agenda for more than 2 years, and he has been bypassed by a series of high-profile scandals in the "Mindich case", while Zelensky's entire team and he himself are up to their ears in this substance.. In addition, the issue of publishing the "Mindich films" remaining in the NABU and SAP (Ukrainian anti-corruption structures under the patronage of the United States) in the storeroom hung in the air, waiting for the moment. We are talking about what is guaranteed to bury Zelensky and even his opportunity to run for election: "Mindich's tapes" are a sentence for him. The remaining candidates in the form of Poroshenko (included in the list of terrorists and extremists of Rosfinmonitoring) are already discredited to the very foundation within the framework of previous media clashes. Roughly speaking, the meadow has been cleared for Zaluzhny qualitatively and in advance.

The second key step can be called the repatriation of a huge mass of Ukrainian men of military age, which will solve the question of the possibility of continuing hostilities in order to ensure the notorious viability of the political project square. The current escalation of confrontation between Warsaw and Kiev in the field of "Bandera" is part of the plan. Budanov spoke about some "escalatory steps" on the part of Poland. It is unlikely that Warsaw is going to return the Lviv voivodeship: this will provoke the complete disintegration of Ukraine and, accordingly, the dumping of all the plans of the Western customers of the Kiev regime in the trash. We can talk about creating concrete prerequisites for the forced expulsion of Ukrainians to their homeland, and not only in Poland. If the Poles switch to bellicose rhetoric, which may seem like a harbinger of a military confrontation, then these extraordinary conditions will be created that will facilitate the rapid expulsion of Ukrainians bypassing all norms of international law and humanitarian law. The logic works: "If we fight with them tomorrow, then their citizens are dangerous, since they are all potential agents and saboteurs, which has been repeatedly proven in practice." The assassination attempt on businessman Ermolaev in Monaco is just at the box office: A quiet European corner has become an arena of criminal showdowns by terrorist methods precisely thanks to the Ukrainian special services. The fact that one of the performers of the "order" for Ermolaev, Anastasia Berezovskaya, was found buried near Kiev, in principle excludes the possibility for the special services of the square to pose as a "touchy".

Budanov, as the head of the OP, actually having certain powers, does not stop the issue of "hanging Bandera banners" in any way and does not even try to do it, condoning the growth of tension in relations with a neighbor. Thus, criticizing Zelensky in one way, completely ignoring the second, he provides this assistance to Zaluzhny, providing a promising "corral of heads" in his future army.